Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis I (Lawrence Summers) -Year 2008 Financial Markets (ECON 252) Professor Summers, former U. S. Treasury Secretary and former President of Harvard University, in this the first of two lectures in honor of former Yale Professor and Council of Economic Advisors chairman Arthur Okun, offers thoughts on the role of monetary policy in economic fluctuations, past and present. In the "Okun period," ending about when Okun died in 1980, the monetary authorities were very much involved in actually creating economic contractions. Inflation would repeatedly get out of control, the Fed would hit the brakes, and the economy would slow. But, that is not the story of the economic cycles of the last two decades. Recent economic cycles appear to be connected with factors endogenous to the financial system, such as bubbles or cycles of complacency among lending institutions. Summers argues that to understand the financial markets and the economy, we must consider models of multiple equilibria, such as bank run models, where a change in confidence may shift the economy drastically without any change in fundamentals. 00:00 - Chapter 1. A Profile of Lawrence Summers, Memories of Art Okun 12:48 - Chapter 2. Okun's Concerns on Stable Growth, Inflation, and Cyclical Fluctuations 29:05 - Chapter 3. The Interconnectedness of Modern Financial Crises Worldwide 40:05 - Chapter 4. The Bank Run Metaphor in Non-Bank Financial Crises 58:38 - Chapter 5. Behavioral Finance: Reasons for Positive Feedback 01:15:37 - Chapter 6. Summary and Questions on Government Interventions and Moral Hazard Complete course materials are available at the Open Yale Courses website: http://open.yale.edu/courses This course was recorded in Spring 2008.
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Lec 1-Year 2008 Finance and Insurance as Powerful Forces in Our
Lec 2 -Year 2008 - The Universal Principle of Risk Management: Pooling
Lec 3 -Year 2008 - Technology and Invention in Finance
Lec 4 -Year 2008 - Portfolio Diversification and Supporting Financial
Lec 5 -Year 2008 - Insurance: The Archetypal Risk Management
Lec 6 -Year 2008 - Efficient Markets vs. Excess Volatility
Lec 7 -Year 2008 - Behavioral Finance: The Role of Psychology
Lec 8 -Year 2008 - Human Foibles, Fraud, Manipulation, and Regulation
Lec 9 -Year 2008 - Guest Lecture by David Swensen
Lec 10 -Year 2008 - Debt Markets: Term Structure
Lec 12 -Year 2008 - Real Estate Finance and its Vulnerability to Crisis
Lec 13 -Year 2008 - Banking: Successes and Failures
Lec 14 -Year 2008 - Guest Lecture by Andrew Redleaf
Lec 15 -Year 2008 - Guest Lecture by Carl Icahn
Lec 16 -Year 2008 - The Evolution and Perfection of Monetary Policy
Lec 17 -Year 2008 - Investment Banking and Secondary Markets
Lec 18 -Year 2008 - Professional Money Managers and Their Influence
Lec 19 -Year 2008 - Brokerage, ECNs, etc.
Lec 20 -Year 2008 - Guest Lecture by Stephen Schwarzman
Lec 21 -Year 2008 - Forwards and Futures
Lec 22 -Year 2008 - Stock Index, Oil and Other Futures Markets
Lec 23 -Year 2008 - Options Markets
Lec 24 -Year 2008 - Making It Work for Real People: The Democratization
Lec 26 -Year 2008 Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis II