"Lec 11 - Behavioral Finance and the Role of Psychology" Financial Markets (2011) (ECON 252) Deviating from an absolute belief in the principle of rationality, Professor Shiller elaborates on human failings and foibles. Acknowledging impulses to exploit these weaknesses, he emphasizes the role of factors that keep these impulses in check, specifically the desire for praise-worthiness from Adam Smith's The Theory of Moral Sentiments. After a discourse on Personality Psychology, Professor Shiller starts a list of important topics in Behavioral Finance with Daniel Kahneman's and Amos's Tversky's Prospect Theory. The value function and the probability weighting function, as two key components of this theory, help explain certain patterns in people's everyday decision making, e.g. the existence of diamond ring insurance and airline flight insurance. An in-class experiment underscores the prevalence and importance of the concept of overconfidence. Further topics include Regret Theory, gambling behavior, cognitive dissonance, anchoring, the representativeness heuristic, and social contagion. Professor Shiller concludes the lecture with some perspectives on moral judgment in the business world, addressing shared values and integrity. 00:00 - Chapter 1: Human Failings & People's Desire for Praise-Worthiness 11:37 - Chapter 2. Personality Psychology 20:14 - Chapter 3. Prospect Theory and Its Implications for Everyday Decision Making 35:53 - Chapter 4. Regret Theory and Gambling Behavior 40:40 - Chapter 5. Overconfidence, and Related Anomalies, Opportunities for Manipulation 57:16 - Chapter 6. Cognitive Dissonance, Anchoring, Representativeness Heuristic, and Social Contagion 01:12:38 - Chapter 7. Moral Judgment in the Business World Complete course materials are available at the Open Yale Courses website: http://oyc.yale.edu This course was recorded in Spring 2011.
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Lec 1 - Introduction and What this Course Will Do for You and Your Purposes
Lec 2 - Risk and Financial Crises
Lec 3 - Technology and Invention in Finance
Lec 4 - Portfolio Diversification and Supporting Financial Institutions
Lec 5 - Insurance, the Archetypal Risk Management Institution, its Opportunities and Vulnerabilities
Lec 6 - Guest Speaker David Swensen
Lec 8 - Theory of Debt, Its Proper Role, Leverage Cycles
Lec 12 - Misbehavior, Crises, Regulation and Self Regulation
Lec 14 - Guest Speaker Maurice
Lec 15 - Forward and Futures Markets
Lec 16 - Guest Speaker Laura Cha
Lec 20 - Professional Money Managers and their Influence
Lec 21 - Exchanges, Brokers, Dealers, Clearinghouses
Lec 22 - Public and Non-Profit Finance
Lec Last - Finding your Purpose in a World of Financial Capitalism